Mayweather vs Alvarez – Latest Odds, Betting Tips and Fight Preview

In what is arguably the biggest boxing bout of the year, Floyd ‘Money’ Mayweather takes on the up and coming young Mexican Saul ‘ Canelo’ Alvarez.  The fight will take place on Saturday 14th September (in the early hours of Sunday morning in the UK) and will be shown live on Boxnation in the UK.

The bout is an intriguing matchup, with Alvarez just turning 23 in July against the unbeaten but ageing Mayweather, who is now 36.  Will this finally be the night when age catches up with Floyd, when he finally meets someone young enough and hungry enough to topple him from his throne as the best P4P boxer in the world?  Let’s take a look at the odds.

Mayweather vs Alvarez – Outright Odds

Floyd Mayweather 4/11 (Skybet)

Saul Alvarez 11/4 (Stan James)

Draw 28/1 (Skybet)

The bookies have made their favourite clear, expecting Floyd Mayweather to still prove he is the best, at a best price of 4/11 there is not a lot of value in backing him though, whereas Alvarez at 11/4 with Stan James actually looks quite a meaty price. It just depends how you view the form of Alvarez so far in his career.

A look at Saul Alvarez

Looking back at Saul Alvarez’ career so far, you have to say it’s impressive, he turned pro in 2005 as a 15 year old as his trainers couldn’t find any suitable junior opponents for him.  The names on his record though, until recently are not in the same class bracket as those on the Mayweather resume.

The best name on Alvarez’ record is Austin Trout, who he outpointed in his last fight to unify the WBA and WBC Light Middleweight titles.  Trout though, is certainly not in the class of Mayweather and could probably be classed in the B list of world title holders.  Alvarez has previously fought Brits Matthew Hatton and Ryan Rhodes and while he beat both of them, he certainly didn’t blow them away with ease as you might expect from such a hyped boxer.

Having said all that, Alvarez is only 23 years old and is clearly a natural talent, his main attributes in this fight will be his size and strength – Mayweather is used to fighting at welterweight and has only stepped up to light-middle 2 times in his career, in a very close and contentious win over De La Hoya and in a fairly routine win over Miguel Cotto recently.

Alvarez is huge at the weight and could use those attributes in his favour on the night if he can get close enough to Mayweather.  Having said that though, Mayweather has again proved great at negotiating things in his favour, the  clash is being contested at a catchweight of 152 pounds which means Canelo could struggle to shed the extra pounds off his huge frame.

On the plus side, Alvarez is the man on the way up, he’s beat everyone put in his path so far, so on paper he probably has the best chance of beating Mayweather out of any of the Pretty Boy’s recent opponents.

Floyd Mayweather

It’s hard to know what to say about Mayweather that hasn’t already been said and many within the boxing trade are predicting him to still come out on top in this one, including names such as Andre Ward and Ricky Hatton.

There is just a feeling that at age 36, he has looked after himself and still might not be past his peak and that he may have just too much ring savvy and experience.  If this fight were another 1-2 years down the line, then we might see a different outcome, but it seems at the current time this will still favour Mayweather who can keep Alvarez at distance and come in and out with stinging fast jabs and counters and win the fight on the back foot.

Mayweather vs Alvarez – Method Of Victory

Mayweather Points/Technical Decision 4/7 (Paddy Power, Skybet)

Mayweather by KO/TKO/Disq 6/1 (Betfred)

Alvarez by KO/TKO/Disq 13/2 (Stan James)

Alvarez Points/Technical Decision 7/1 (Sportingbet)

Draw 28/1 (Skybet)

I feel it’s going to be another Mayweather points victory, I can’t see a KO in this fight, both fighters are tough as teak and have proven throughout their careers that they can take a dig.  If you fancy Alvarez then you can get some pretty beefy odds on the win either way, so that might be worth a bit of money if you fancy the young Mexican to out-strength Mayweather, he’s certainly a big price for an unbeaten fighter, but I just can’t see past Mayweather here.

Betting Recommendation: 5 pts on Floyd Mayweather Points/TD @ 4/7 (Paddy Power and Skybet)

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