- 60 votes
Chepstow Coral Welsh Grand National 2014 Betting Tips and Preview
The Welsh Grand National is one of the biggest horse races staged over the Christmas period and has been won by some of the most famous names in national hunt races over the years. Due to take place on Saturday December 27th, the Welsh National is arguably the most important contest in Chepstow’s calendar and the marathon trip of three miles five and a half furlongs often makes for a fantastic spectacle. Underfoot conditions are nearly always soft or worse for this race, and the emphasis is most definitely on stamina.
The Richard Lee trained Mountainous showed plenty of that when successful twelve months ago and made the most of his featherweight of just ten stone to win at rewarding odds of 20/1. Only nine horses completed the race in 2013, with a further eleven runners pulled up. This illustrates exactly what a tough event this is and while there are races run over longer trips, this Welsh National definitely takes as much getting as any race during the national hunt season. Mountainous is due to line up once again this year and while some firms are only 12/1 about the defending champion, punters can help themselves to a stand out price of 16/1 over at William Hill.
Currently heading the betting for the 2014 Coral Welsh National is the Emma Lavelle trained Shotgun Paddy who is available at a best price of 8/1 with the majority of firms. Still relatively lightly raced, Shotgun Paddy has a very solid record at Chepstow, with two wins from three visits.
This seven year old’s effort in the Terry Biddlecombe National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival in March when finishing second reads well in the context of this race and a repeat of that run would see him go very close indeed. I couldn’t put anyone off a punt on this proven stayer at anything around 8/1, and I fully expect Shotgun Paddy to be involved come the business end of the race.
Monbeg Dude is another horse towards the head of the betting, and although he’s a little more exposed than rival Shotgun Paddy, Monbeg Dude will have no problems whatsoever with this three mile five furlong trip, even if the ground comes up on the worse side of soft.
Now nine years old, Monbeg Dude finished seventh in last season’s Aintree Grand National and actually won the Coral Welsh National back in 2013 off a mark of 128. This horse has since won off a mark of 138 and isn’t out of it even running from a rating a further eight pounds higher here. Ladbrokes go 10/1 about the Scudamore inmate and like Shotgun Paddy, he’s a horse I’d fully expect to at least finish this year’s Welsh National.
From a trends perspective, the Coral Welsh National is usually won by a horse aged between 6 and 8 years old, rated won 137 or lower and having previously won over a trip of at least three miles. One horse who has a profile that very much fits the trends is the Philip Hobbs’ trained Gas Line Boy. Having won his last two starts in class 3 company, Gas Line Boy appears to be in the form of his life and with the Hobbs yard in such good form,
I strongly fancy the chances of this son of Blueprint owned by the Mick Fitzgerald Racing Club. 14/1 looks like a cracking each way price, and I can see Gas Line Boy landing the hat-trick come December 27th.
Back Gas Line Boy each way at 14/1 with bet365