Italy vs England Friendly International Betting Preview

England travel to Turin this Tuesday for an international friendly against Italy, with England currently feeling good after 5 wins on the bounce in their Euro 2016 qualifying group.  the match kicks off at 7.45pm and is being shown live on ITV1 in the UK, so there should be a good viewing audience for what is largely a ‘keep busy’ showpiece friendly for both teams.

Harry Kane England International

Italy have been in poor form in the Euro qualifiers, making heavy work of a fairly easy group, struggling to a 1-0 win away at Malta, drawing 1-1 at home to Croatia and in their last game struggling to get a 2-2 draw in Bulgaria.  One of Italy’s key problems appears to be creativity and goalscoring, with a real drop in the amount of young talents coming through into the team.  This could be England’s moment to take advantage with confidence high.

Italy vs England Outright Odds

Italy 17/10 (Bet365)

England 11/5 (Coral)

Draw 9/4 (Betfred)

The bookmakers can’t split the 2 sides, making Italy slight favourites but there’s not much in the odds with each outcome almost equally likely.  Personally I feel that England have built a lot of confidence and momentum since the poor World Cup showing in Brazil and are starting to lay the foundations of a decent, attacking and pacy young side.

Italy on the other hand appear to be regressing right now, struggling for creative spark and with goalscorers Simone Zaza and Ciro Immobile not really looking quite ready for international level just yet.  The fact that Zaza plays for lesser side Sassuolo and Immobile is horribly out of form at Borussia Dortmund shows the dearth of attacking talent that Italy have right now. Italy have recently naturalised the Brazilian striker Eder, which is a sign of how much they need strikers and he scored on his debut against Bulgaria so could be dangerous.

England have a good number of young players coming through, with Harry Kane in tremendous form and Raheem Sterling looking like he could become a really top class player, so the momentum really appears to favour England.  Italy still have that solid defence though, which is definitely England’s weakest link as Chris Smalling and Phil Jones have not really developed as people thought they might.  I don’t see the Italy strikers causing England too many worries though and am going to pick England at 11/5 with Coral as a pretty decent value bet right now.

First Goalscorer Odds

Wayne Rooney 6/1 (Paddy Power, William Hill)

Ciro Immobile 6/1 (Bet365)

Eder 7/1 (Bet365)

Harry Kane 7/1 (Bet365, Paddy Power)

Simone Zaza 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

Theo Walcott 11/1 (Bet365)

I fancy Roy Hodgson to switch things up a bit from Saturday’s win against Lithuania.  With Danny Welbeck injured the news is that Harry Kane is very likely to start up front and I also expect Theo Walcott to come in and get a game.  Kane at 7/1 looks a very nice bet indeed to be first on the scoresheet and carry on his great recent form.  Walcott at 11/1 also looks value, he’s slowly getting back to form after his injury woes and could have the pace to hurt a rather slow looking Italian defence.

I’m going to go with the form pick here though, with the Italian strikers looking out of form I have to pick Harry Kane at 7/1 with Bet365.

Recommended Bets

England Outright at 11/5 with Coral

Harry Kane to score first at 7/1 with Bet365